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1.
PLoS Negl Trop Dis ; 18(3): e0012064, 2024 Mar.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38551968

RESUMEN

Control of dog-mediated rabies relies on raising awareness, access to post-exposure prophylaxis (PEP) and mass dog vaccination. To assess rabies awareness in Moramanga district, Madagascar, where rabies is endemic, two complementary quantitative and qualitative approaches were carried out in 2018. In the quantitative approach, a standardized questionnaire was administered to 334 randomized participants living in 170 households located less than 5 km from the anti-rabies treatment center (ARTC) located in Moramanga city (thereafter called the central area), and in 164 households located more than 15 km away from the ARTC in two rural communes (thereafter called the remote area). Logistic regression models were fitted to identify factors influencing knowledge and practice scores. The qualitative approach consisted in semi-structured interviews conducted with 28 bite victims who had consulted the ARTC, three owners of biting dogs, three ARTC staff and two local authorities. Overall, 15.6% (52/334) of households owned at least one dog. The dog-to-human ratio was 1:17.6. The central area had a significantly higher dog bite incidence (0.53 per 100 person-years, 95% CI: 0.31-0.85) compared to the remote area (0.22 per 100 person-years, 95% CI: 0.09-0.43) (p = 0.03). The care pathway following a bite depended on wound severity, how the dog was perceived and its owner's willingness to cover costs. Rabies vaccination coverage in dogs in the remote area was extremely low (2.4%). Respondents knew that vaccination prevented animal rabies but owners considered that their own dogs were harmless and cited access and cost of vaccine as main barriers. Most respondents were not aware of the existence of the ARTC (85.3%), did not know the importance of timely access to PEP (92.2%) or that biting dogs should be isolated (89.5%) and monitored. Good knowledge scores were significantly associated with having a higher socio-economic status (OR = 2.08, CI = 1.33-3.26) and living in central area (OR = 1.91, CI = 1.22-3.00). Good practice scores were significantly associated with living in central area (OR = 4.78, CI = 2.98-7.77) and being aware of the ARTC's existence (OR = 2.29, CI = 1.14-4.80). In Madagascar, knowledge on rabies was disparate with important gaps on PEP and animal management. Awareness campaigns should inform communities (i) on the importance of seeking PEP as soon as possible after an exposure, whatever the severity of the wound and the type of biting dog who caused it, and (ii) on the existence and location of ARTCs where free-of-charge PEP is available. They should also encourage owners to isolate and monitor the health of biting dogs. Above all, awareness and dog vaccination campaigns should be designed so as to reach the more vulnerable remote rural populations as knowledge, good practices and vaccination coverage were lower in these areas. They should also target households with a lower socio-economic status. If awareness campaigns are likely to succeed in improving access to ARTCs in Madagascar, their impact on prompting dog owners to vaccinate their own dogs seems more uncertain given the financial and access barriers. Therefore, to reach the 70% dog vaccination coverage goal targeted in rabies elimination programs, awareness campaigns must be combined with free-of-charge mass dog vaccination.


Asunto(s)
Mordeduras y Picaduras , Enfermedades de los Perros , Vacunas Antirrábicas , Rabia , Humanos , Animales , Perros , Rabia/epidemiología , Rabia/prevención & control , Rabia/veterinaria , Madagascar/epidemiología , Conocimientos, Actitudes y Práctica en Salud , Enfermedades de los Perros/prevención & control , Enfermedades de los Perros/epidemiología
2.
BMC Public Health ; 23(1): 1990, 2023 10 12.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-37828477

RESUMEN

BACKGROUND: With regard to the coronavirus disease (COVID-19) pandemic in Madagascar, little is known about the knowledge, the perceptions and the impacts of this disease on women of childbearing age. People's knowledge of COVID-19 can have an impact on their attitudes towards seeking care. The aim of the current study is to determine the knowledge of COVID-19 and associated determinants among women of childbearing age in Moramanga. METHODS: A cross-sectional study based on questionnaire administration was used among women of childbearing age. Data collection was conducted from August to October 2021. A scoring method was applied to evaluate their knowledge level and perceptions about COVID-19 and its impacts on their lives. A binary stepwise logistic regression was performed to determine the sociodemographic determinants of their knowledge level about COVID-19. RESULTS: A total of 885 women of childbearing age from urban and rural Moramanga areas were interviewed. Approximately 49.8% (441/885) lived in urban areas, and 50.2% (444/885) lived in rural areas. Approximately 35.3% (322/885) of the participants had a good level of knowledge of COVID-19. Multivariate analysis showed that the probability of having a good level of knowledge of COVID-19 had a significant statistical association (p value < 0.05) with living in an urban area [AOR: 2.89; 95% CI (1.89-4.42)], telephone ownership [AOR: 1.71; 95% CI (1.16-2.53)], radio ownership [AOR 2.2; 95% CI (1.43-3.38)], watching TV [AOR = 1.95; 95% CI (1.34-2.83)] and reading journal papers [AOR = 3.74 95% CI (1.69-8.27)]. CONCLUSIONS: Almost a third of the sampled women of childbearing age had a good level of knowledge of COVID-19. Access to information through telecommunications technologies increases the chances of being better informed about the disease. To avoid the negative repercussions of infectious disease epidemics, it is necessary to improve the awareness of childbearing women about these diseases by taking demographic features of the population into account.


Asunto(s)
COVID-19 , Humanos , Femenino , Estudios Transversales , COVID-19/epidemiología , Pandemias , Hábitos , Madagascar/epidemiología , Conocimientos, Actitudes y Práctica en Salud , Etiopía
3.
BMJ Glob Health ; 8(7)2023 07.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-37495370

RESUMEN

INTRODUCTION: COVID-19-associated mortality remains difficult to estimate in sub-Saharan Africa because of the lack of comprehensive systems of death registration. Based on death registers referring to the capital city of Madagascar, we sought to estimate the excess mortality during the COVID-19 pandemic and calculate the loss of life expectancy. METHODS: Death records between 2016 and 2021 were used to estimate weekly excess mortality during the pandemic period. To infer its synchrony with circulation of SARS-CoV-2, a cross-wavelet analysis was performed. Life expectancy loss due to the COVID-19 pandemic was calculated by projecting mortality rates using the Lee and Carter model and extrapolating the prepandemic trends (1990-2019). Differences in life expectancy at birth were disaggregated by cause of death. RESULTS: Peaks of excess mortality in 2020-21 were associated with waves of COVID-19. Estimates of all-cause excess mortality were 38.5 and 64.9 per 100 000 inhabitants in 2020 and 2021, respectively, with excess mortality reaching ≥50% over 6 weeks. In 2021, we quantified a drop of 0.8 and 1.0 years in the life expectancy for men and women, respectively attributable to increased risks of death beyond the age of 60 years. CONCLUSION: We observed high excess mortality during the pandemic period, in particular around the peaks of SARS-CoV-2 circulation in Antananarivo. Our study highlights the need to implement death registration systems in low-income countries to document true toll of a pandemic.


Asunto(s)
COVID-19 , Mortalidad , Infecciones del Sistema Respiratorio , Femenino , Humanos , Recién Nacido , Masculino , Persona de Mediana Edad , Causas de Muerte , COVID-19/epidemiología , Madagascar/epidemiología , Pandemias , SARS-CoV-2 , Mortalidad/tendencias , Salud Pública , Infecciones del Sistema Respiratorio/epidemiología , Infecciones del Sistema Respiratorio/virología , Brotes de Enfermedades
4.
Heliyon ; 9(6): e17264, 2023 Jun.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-37332901

RESUMEN

Background: The world is facing a 2019 coronavirus (COVID-19) pandemic caused by severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2). In this context, efficient serological assays are needed to accurately describe the humoral responses against the virus. These tools could potentially provide temporal and clinical characteristics and are thus paramount in developing-countries lacking sufficient ongoing COVID-19 epidemic descriptions. Methods: We developed and validated a Luminex xMAP® multiplex serological assay targeting specific IgM and IgG antibodies against the SARS-CoV-2 Spike subunit 1 (S1), Spike subunit 2 (S2), Spike Receptor Binding Domain (RBD) and the Nucleocapsid protein (N). Blood samples collected periodically for 12 months from 43 patients diagnosed with COVID-19 in Madagascar were tested for these antibodies. A random forest algorithm was used to build a predictive model of time since infection and symptom presentation. Findings: The performance of the multiplex serological assay was evaluated for the detection of SARS-CoV-2 anti-IgG and anti-IgM antibodies. Both sensitivity and specificity were equal to 100% (89.85-100) for S1, RBD and N (S2 had a lower specificity = 95%) for IgG at day 14 after enrolment. This multiplex assay compared with two commercialized ELISA kits, showed a higher sensitivity. Principal Component Analysis was performed on serologic data to group patients according to time of sample collection and clinical presentations. The random forest algorithm built by this approach predicted symptom presentation and time since infection with an accuracy of 87.1% (95% CI = 70.17-96.37, p-value = 0.0016), and 80% (95% CI = 61.43-92.29, p-value = 0.0001) respectively. Interpretation: This study demonstrates that the statistical model predicts time since infection and previous symptom presentation using IgM and IgG response to SARS-CoV2. This tool may be useful for global surveillance, discriminating recent- and past- SARS-CoV-2 infection, and assessing disease severity. Fundings: This study was funded by the French Ministry for Europe and Foreign Affairs through the REPAIR COVID-19-Africa project coordinated by the Pasteur International Network association. WANTAI reagents were provided by WHO AFRO as part of a Sero-epidemiological "Unity" Study Grant/Award Number: 2020/1,019,828-0 P·O 202546047 and Initiative 5% grant n°AP-5PC-2018-03-RO.

5.
Sci Rep ; 13(1): 782, 2023 01 16.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-36646780

RESUMEN

Profiling of the antibody responses to severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus-2 (SARS-CoV-2) proteins in African populations is scarce. Here, we performed a detailed IgM and IgG epitope mapping study against 487 peptides covering SARS-CoV-2 wild-type structural proteins. A panel of 41 pre-pandemic and 82 COVID-19 RT-PCR confirmed sera from Madagascar and Senegal were used. We found that the main 36 immunodominant linear epitopes identified were (i) similar in both countries, (ii) distributed mainly in the Spike and the Nucleocapsid proteins, (iii) located outside the RBD and NTD regions where most of the reported SARS-CoV-2 variant mutations occur, and (iv) identical to those reported in European, North American, and Asian studies. Within the severe group, antibody levels were inversely correlated with the viral load. This first antibody epitope mapping study performed in patients from two African countries may be helpful to guide rational peptide-based diagnostic assays or vaccine development.


Asunto(s)
COVID-19 , SARS-CoV-2 , Humanos , SARS-CoV-2/genética , Mapeo Epitopo , Anticuerpos Antivirales , Epítopos Inmunodominantes , Senegal
6.
Front Public Health ; 11: 1292435, 2023.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38249384

RESUMEN

Surveillance to better detect and respond to new pathogens remains a major challenge for global public health. The Pasteur Network recently held a brainstorming workshop located in Cameroon attended by Pasteur epidemiological teams from Niger, Central African Republic (CAR), Cameroon, Senegal, and Madagascar to discuss how the Pasteur Network in Africa could use the lessons of COVID-19 to set-up a pilot sentinel surveillance scheme given its expertise and involvement during the pandemic. The possibility of coupling sentinel syndromic and biological surveillance already implemented for influenza surveillance with the recent sequencing capacity put in place by the AFROSCREEN program prompted us to consider strengthening surveillance tools to target "Pathogen X" detection in Africa. The perspective project provided by the Pasteur Network teams and shared with other partners of the AFROSCREEN program will target strengthening of the diagnosis of severe acute respiratory infections (IRAS) and the surveillance of IRAS, the evaluation of the impact of SARS-CoV-2 on the epidemiology of IRAS, and the addition of the detection of new pathogens, called "Pathogen X," based on sequencing capacity and epidemiological criteria from One Health approaches.


Asunto(s)
Infecciones del Sistema Respiratorio , Vigilancia de Guardia , Humanos , África , Población Negra , COVID-19/epidemiología , Infecciones del Sistema Respiratorio/diagnóstico , Infecciones del Sistema Respiratorio/epidemiología , Infecciones del Sistema Respiratorio/etiología , Madagascar/epidemiología , Camerún/epidemiología , Pueblo Africano , Niger/epidemiología , República Centroafricana/epidemiología , Senegal/epidemiología
7.
Sci Rep ; 12(1): 20640, 2022 11 30.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-36450921

RESUMEN

There is a need for rapid non-sputum-based tests to identify and treat patients infected with Mycobacterium tuberculosis (Mtb). The overall objective of this study was to measure and compare the expression of a selected panel of human plasma proteins in patients with active pulmonary tuberculosis (ATB) throughout anti-TB treatment (from baseline to the end of treatment), in Mtb-infected individuals (TBI) and healthy donors (HD) to identify a putative host-protein signature useful for both TB diagnosis and treatment monitoring. A panel of seven human host proteins CLEC3B, SELL, IGFBP3, IP10, CD14, ECM1 and C1Q were measured in the plasma isolated from an HIV-negative prospective cohort of 37 ATB, 24 TBI and 23 HD. The protein signatures were assessed using a Luminex xMAP® to quantify the plasmatic levels in unstimulated blood of the different clinical group as well as the protein levels at baseline and at three timepoints during the 6-months ATB treatment, to compare the plasma protein levels between culture slow and fast converters that may contribute to monitor the TB treatment outcome. Protein signatures were defined using the CombiROC algorithm and multivariate models. The studied plasma host proteins showed different levels between the clinical groups and during the TB treatment. Six of the plasma proteins (CLEC3B, SELL, IGFBP3, IP10, CD14 and C1Q) showed significant differences in normalised median fluorescence intensities when comparing ATB vs HD or TBI groups while ECM1 revealed a significant difference between fast and slow sputum culture converters after 2 months following treatment (p = 0.006). The expression of a four-host protein markers (CLEC3B-ECM1-IP10-SELL) was significantly different between ATB from HD or TBI groups (respectively, p < 0.05). The expression of the same signature was significantly different between the slow vs the fast sputum culture converters after 2 months of treatment (p < 0.05). The results suggest a promising 4 host-plasma marker signature that would be associated with both TB diagnostic and treatment monitoring.


Asunto(s)
Mycobacterium tuberculosis , Tuberculosis Ganglionar , Humanos , Quimiocina CXCL10 , Complemento C1q , Estudios Prospectivos , Antituberculosos/uso terapéutico , Proteínas Sanguíneas , Proteínas de la Matriz Extracelular
8.
BMC Med ; 20(1): 322, 2022 10 04.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-36192774

RESUMEN

BACKGROUND: Malaria remains a leading cause of morbidity and mortality worldwide, with progress in malaria control stalling in recent years. Proactive community case management (pro-CCM) has been shown to increase access to diagnosis and treatment and reduce malaria burden. However, lack of experimental evidence may hinder the wider adoption of this intervention. We conducted a cluster randomized community intervention trial to assess the efficacy of pro-CCM at decreasing malaria prevalence in rural endemic areas of Madagascar. METHODS: Twenty-two fokontany (smallest administrative unit) of the Mananjary district in southeast Madagascar were selected and randomized 1:1 to pro-CCM (intervention) or conventional integrated community case management (iCCM). Residents of all ages in the intervention arm were visited by a community health worker every 2 weeks from March to October 2017 and screened for fever; those with fever were tested by a rapid diagnostic test (RDT) and treated if positive. Malaria prevalence was assessed using RDTs on all consenting study area residents prior to and following the intervention. Hemoglobin was measured among women of reproductive age. Intervention impact was assessed via difference-in-differences analyses using logistic regressions in generalized estimating equations. RESULTS: A total of 27,087 and 20,475 individuals participated at baseline and endline, respectively. Malaria prevalence decreased from 8.0 to 5.4% in the intervention arm for individuals of all ages and from 6.8 to 5.7% in the control arm. Pro-CCM was associated with a significant reduction in the odds of malaria positivity in children less than 15 years (OR = 0.59; 95% CI [0.38-0.91]), but not in older age groups. There was no impact on anemia among women of reproductive age. CONCLUSION: This trial suggests that pro-CCM approaches could help reduce malaria burden in rural endemic areas of low- and middle-income countries, but their impact may be limited to younger age groups with the highest malaria burden. TRIAL REGISTRATION: NCT05223933. Registered on February 4, 2022.


Asunto(s)
Manejo de Caso , Malaria , Anciano , Niño , Agentes Comunitarios de Salud , Femenino , Humanos , Recién Nacido , Madagascar/epidemiología , Malaria/diagnóstico , Malaria/epidemiología , Malaria/prevención & control , Prevalencia
9.
Influenza Other Respir Viruses ; 16(6): 994-1003, 2022 11.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-35754109

RESUMEN

BACKGROUND: Health care workers (HCWs) represent a vulnerable population during epidemic periods. Our cohort study aimed to estimate the risk of infection and associated factors among HCWs during the first wave of severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) in Madagascar. METHODS: A prospective cohort study was carried out in three hospitals that oversaw the first cases of COVID-19. Monthly ELISA-based serological tests were conducted, and nasopharyngeal swabs were collected in the case of symptoms linked to COVID-19 for RT-PCR analysis. Survival analyses were used to determine factors associated with SARS-CoV-2 infection. RESULTS: The study lasted 7 months from May 2020. We included 122 HCWs, 61.5% of whom were women. The median age was 31.9 years (IQR: 26.4-42.3). In total, 42 (34.4%) had SARS-CoV-2 infections, of which 20 were asymptomatic (47.6%). The incidence of SARS-CoV-2 infection was 9.3% (95% CI [6.5-13.2]) person-months. Sixty-five HCWs presented symptoms, of which 19 were positive by RT-PCR. When adjusted for exposure to deceased cases, infection was more frequent in HCWs younger than 30 years of age (RR = 4.9, 95% CI [1.4-17.2]). CONCLUSION: Our results indicate a high incidence of infection with SARS-CoV-2 among HCWs, with a high proportion of asymptomatic cases. Young HCWs are more likely to be at risk than others. Greater awareness among young people is necessary to reduce the threat of infection among HCWs.


Asunto(s)
COVID-19 , Adolescente , Adulto , COVID-19/diagnóstico , COVID-19/epidemiología , Estudios de Cohortes , Femenino , Personal de Salud , Humanos , Madagascar/epidemiología , Masculino , Estudios Prospectivos , SARS-CoV-2/genética
10.
IJID Reg ; 2: 82-89, 2022 Mar.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-35757077

RESUMEN

Background: The lack of rapid, sensitive and affordable diagnostic tests that can distinguish a wide variety of respiratory pathogens at the point of care is an obstacle to the rapid implementation of control measures following events and epidemics. In addition, the absence of a standardized case definition to differentiate putative aetiologies is a challenge to assessing the burden of disease. This study aimed to identify the clinical spectrum of respiratory pathogens commonly associated with respiratory tract infections in the context of disease surveillance. Methods: Data obtained from prospective hospital-based severe acute respiratory infection surveillance among children aged <5 years from November 2010 to July 2013 were used in this study. Results: Intercostal recession and dyspnoea were predictive of respiratory syncytial virus (RSV) infection, whereas headache and chills were more often observed during influenza A infection. Male patients were at a higher risk for RSV infection than female patients. Productive cough, chills, sweating and weight loss were significantly associated with Streptococcus pneumoniae infection. The presence of fever did not necessarily indicate RSV infection. Conclusions: Combined with other examinations, this study shows the value of including the syndromic approach in the panel of diagnostic criteria for rapid identification of the risk of infectious diseases in areas where laboratory diagnostics are challenging. Given the current situation with coronavirus disease 2019, this approach may help decision makers to implement appropriate control measures.

11.
Influenza Other Respir Viruses ; 16(1): 48-55, 2022 01.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-34378341

RESUMEN

BACKGROUND: Households are among the highest risk for the transmission of SARS-CoV-2. In sub-Saharan Africa, very few studies have described household transmission during the COVID-19 pandemic. Our work aimed to describe the epidemiologic parameters and analyze the secondary attack rate (SAR) in Antananarivo, Madagascar, following the introduction of SARS-CoV-2 in the country in March 2020. METHODS: A prospective case-ascertained study of all identified close contacts of laboratory-confirmed COVID-19 infections was conducted in Antananarivo from March to June 2020. Cases and household contacts were followed for 21 days. We estimated epidemic parameters of disease transmission by fitting parametric distributions based on infector-infected paired data. We assessed factors influencing transmission risk by analyzing the SAR. FINDINGS: Overall, we included 96 index cases and 179 household contacts. Adjusted with the best-fit normal distribution, the incubation period was 4.1 days (95% CI 0.7-7.5]). The serial interval was 6.0 days (95% CI [2.4-9.6]) after adjusting with the best-fit Weibull distribution. On average, each index case infected 1.6 family members (95%CI [0.9-2.3]). The mean SAR among close contacts was 38.8% (95% CI [19.5-58.2]) with the best-fit gamma distribution. Contacts older than 35 years old were more likely to be infected, and the highest SAR was found among them. CONCLUSION: The results of our study provide key insights into the epidemiology of the first wave of SARS-CoV-2 in Madagascar. High rates of household transmission were found in Antananarivo, emphasizing the need for preventive measures to reduce community transmission.


Asunto(s)
COVID-19 , Adulto , Composición Familiar , Humanos , Madagascar/epidemiología , Pandemias , SARS-CoV-2
12.
BMC Pregnancy Childbirth ; 21(1): 428, 2021 Jun 16.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-34134653

RESUMEN

BACKGROUND: In Madagascar, maternal mortality remains stable and high (426 deaths per 100,000 live births). This situation is mainly due to a delay or lack of use of maternal healthcare services. Problems related to maternal healthcare services are well documented in Madagascar, but little information related to maternal healthcare seeking is known. Thus, this paper aims to identify and analyze the factors that influence the utilization of maternal services, specifically, the use of antenatal care (ANC) during pregnancy and the use of skilled birth attendants (SBAs) at delivery. METHOD: We used quantitative and qualitative approaches in the study. Two communes of the Vakinankaratra region, which are located in the highlands, were the settings. Data collection occurred from October 2016 to July 2017. A total of 245 pregnant women were included and followed up in the quantitative survey, and among them, 35 participated in in-depth interviews(IDIs). Logistic regressions were applied to explore the influencing factors of antenatal and delivery healthcare seeking practices through thematic qualitative analysis. RESULTS: Among the 245 women surveyed, 13.9% did not attend any ANC visits. School level, occupation and gravidity positively influenced the likelihood of attending one or more ANC visits. The additional use of traditional caregivers remained predominant and was perceived as potentially complementary to medical care. Nine in ten (91%) women expressed a preference for delivery at healthcare facilities (HFs), but 61% of births were assisted by a skilled birth attendant (SBA).The school level; the frequency of ANCs; the origin region; and the preference between modern or traditional care influenced the use of SBAs at delivery. A lack of preparation (financial and logistics problems) and women's low involvement in decision making at delivery were the main barriers to giving birth at HFs. CONCLUSION: The use of maternal healthcare services is starting to gain ground, although many women and their relatives still use traditional caregivers at the same time. Relatives play a crucial role in maternal healthcare seeking. It would be necessary to target women's relatives for awareness-raising messages about ANC and childbirth in healthcare facilities and to support and formalize collaborations between traditional healers and biomedical caregivers.


Asunto(s)
Utilización de Instalaciones y Servicios/estadística & datos numéricos , Conocimientos, Actitudes y Práctica en Salud/etnología , Salud Materna/etnología , Parto , Aceptación de la Atención de Salud/etnología , Mujeres Embarazadas/psicología , Atención Prenatal , Adolescente , Adulto , Femenino , Grupos Focales , Accesibilidad a los Servicios de Salud , Parto Domiciliario , Humanos , Madagascar/etnología , Persona de Mediana Edad , Partería , Prioridad del Paciente , Embarazo , Factores Socioeconómicos , Encuestas y Cuestionarios , Adulto Joven
13.
Int J Infect Dis ; 103: 338-342, 2021 Feb.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-33249289

RESUMEN

OBJECTIVES: Quantitative estimates of the impact of infectious disease outbreaks are required to develop measured policy responses. In many low- and middle-income countries, inadequate surveillance and incompleteness of death registration are important barriers. DESIGN: Here, we characterize how large an impact on mortality would have to be for being detectable using the uniquely detailed mortality notification data from the city of Antananarivo, Madagascar, with application to a recent measles outbreak. RESULTS: The weekly mortality rate of children during the 2018-2019 measles outbreak was 161% above the expected value at its peak, and the signal can be detected earlier in children than in the general population. This approach to detect anomalies from expected baseline mortality allows us to delineate the prevalence of COVID-19 at which excess mortality would be detectable with the existing death notification system in Antananarivo. CONCLUSIONS: Given current age-specific estimates of the COVID-19 fatality ratio and the age structure of the population in Antananarivo, we estimate that as few as 11 deaths per week in the 60-70 years age group (corresponding to an infection rate of approximately 1%) would detectably exceed the baseline. Data from 2020 will undergo necessary processing and quality control in the coming months. Our results provide a baseline for interpreting this information.


Asunto(s)
COVID-19/epidemiología , Brotes de Enfermedades , Adolescente , Adulto , Anciano , Anciano de 80 o más Años , COVID-19/mortalidad , Niño , Preescolar , Femenino , Humanos , Lactante , Recién Nacido , Límite de Detección , Madagascar/epidemiología , Sarampión/epidemiología , Sarampión/mortalidad , Persona de Mediana Edad , Prevalencia , SARS-CoV-2 , Adulto Joven
14.
Front Immunol ; 12: 805157, 2021.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-35003135

RESUMEN

Introduction: Pregnancy triggers an alteration of the immune functions and increases the risk of developing the active tuberculosis (TB) symptoms in exposed women. The effect of pregnancy on the Mycobacterium tuberculosis-specific immune responses used for most of the TB immunodiagnostic assays is not well documented. Here we investigated the changes in the M. tuberculosis-specific IFN-γ production in age-matched pregnant and non-pregnant women according to their TB exposition status. Methods: We conducted a prospective cohort study on HIV-seronegative pregnant and non-pregnant women with compatible pulmonary TB symptoms addressed to TB healthcare facilities in Antananarivo, Madagascar. Active pulmonary TB was bacteriologically assessed with culture from sputum samples. Clinical data and blood samples were collected at inclusion and after 6 months of follow-up for each individual included. Whole blood samples were stimulated with QuantiFERON TB-Gold Plus (QFT-P) assay antigens. Plasma IFN-γ concentrations were then assessed by ELISA. Results: A total of 284 women were investigated for the study including 209 pregnant women without confirmed TB (pNTB), 24 pregnant women with bacteriologically confirmed active TB (pATB), 16 non-pregnant women with active TB (ATB), and 35 non-pregnant healthy donors (HC). At inclusion, IFN-γ responses are lower in the pregnant women compared to their age-matched non-pregnant counterparts and independently of their TB status. Among the pregnant women, higher concentrations of M. tuberculosis-specific IFN-γ were observed in those exposed to TB, but with a lower magnitude in the active TB compared to the latently infected pregnant women (p < 0.05 with TB1 and p < 0.01 with TB2). After 6 months of follow-up, the M. tuberculosis-specific IFN-γ responses return to their baseline concentrations except for the pregnant women treated for TB for which none of the QFT-P positive reversed to negative (0%, 0/10) at the end of their TB treatment. Conclusion: These results support the concept of specific immune priorities characterized by a concomitant reduction in inflammatory immunity during pregnancy and corroborate the important role of activating the M. tuberculosis-specific immune responses to control the infection when the pregnant women are exposed to the pathogen.


Asunto(s)
Interferón gamma/inmunología , Complicaciones Infecciosas del Embarazo/inmunología , Tuberculosis Pulmonar/inmunología , Adulto , Estudios de Cohortes , Estudios Transversales , Femenino , Infecciones por VIH , Humanos , Madagascar , Mycobacterium tuberculosis , Embarazo , Estudios Prospectivos
15.
Int J Public Health ; 65(6): 781-790, 2020 Jul.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-32566965

RESUMEN

OBJECTIVES: One child or young adolescent dies every 10 min in Madagascar and large disparities in survival persist. We estimated cause-specific mortality in a cohort of children aged 0-14 in the Moramanga district and explored how causes of death shape these inequalities. METHODS: Children were followed prospectively between 2012 and 2017. Causes of death were established based on verbal autopsies. Incidence rate ratios were estimated in Poisson regression models. RESULTS: The risk of dying before age 15 was 68.1 per thousand live births. Risks of dying were highest in the first year of life (31.2‰) and lowest in children aged 10-14 (6.4‰). The male-to-female sex ratios of mortality increased with age and reached 2.3 among adolescents aged 10-14. Communicable, nutritional and neonatal causes accounted for 79.5% of deaths below age 5 and 47.0% above age 5. Mortality was positively associated with household poverty, lack of education of the household head, and rural residence. CONCLUSIONS: Interventions should be designed with an equity lens to reduce large disparities in survival and be tailored to the needs of each age-group.


Asunto(s)
Causas de Muerte , Mortalidad del Niño , Disparidades en el Estado de Salud , Adolescente , Niño , Preescolar , Estudios de Cohortes , Composición Familiar , Femenino , Encuestas Epidemiológicas , Humanos , Lactante , Recién Nacido , Madagascar/epidemiología , Masculino , Mortalidad , Pobreza/estadística & datos numéricos , Población Rural , Factores Sexuales , Factores Socioeconómicos
16.
BMC Womens Health ; 20(1): 96, 2020 05 06.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-32375746

RESUMEN

BACKGROUND: Madagascar has restrictive abortion laws with no explicit exception to preserve the woman's life. This study aimed to estimate the incidence of abortion in the country and examine the methods, consequences, and risk factors of these abortions. METHODS: We interviewed 3179 women between September 2015 and April 2016. Women were selected from rural and urban areas of ten districts via a multistage, stratified cluster sampling survey and asked about any induced abortions within the previous 10 years. Analyses used survey weighted estimation procedures. Quasi-Poisson regression was used to estimate the incidence rate of abortions. Logistic regression models with random effects to account for the clustered sampling design were used to estimate the risk of abortion complications by abortion method, provider, and month of pregnancy, and to describe risk factors of induced abortion. RESULTS: For 2005-2016, we estimated an incidence rate of 18.2 abortions (95% CI 14.4-23.0) per 1000 person-years among sexually active women (aged 18-49 at the time of interview). Applying a multiplier of two as used by the World Health Organization for abortion surveys suggests a true rate of 36.4 per 1000 person-year of exposure. The majority of abortions involved invasive methods such as manual or sharp curettage or insertion of objects into the genital tract. Signs of potential infection followed 29.1% (21.8-37.7%) of abortions. However, the odds of potential infection and of seeking care after abortion did not differ significantly between women who used misoprostol alone and those who used other methods. The odds of experiencing abortion were significantly higher among women who had ever used contraceptive methods compared to those who had not. However, the proportion of women with a history of abortion was significantly lower in rural districts where contraception was available from community health workers than where it was not. CONCLUSIONS: Incidence estimates from Madagascar are lower than those from other African settings, but similar to continent-wide estimates when accounting for underreporting. The finding that the majority of abortions involved invasive procedures suggests a need for strengthening information, education and communications programs on preventing or managing unintended pregnancies.


Asunto(s)
Aborto Incompleto/epidemiología , Aborto Inducido/efectos adversos , Aborto Inducido/estadística & datos numéricos , Servicios de Planificación Familiar/estadística & datos numéricos , Complicaciones Posoperatorias/etiología , Aborto Inducido/métodos , Adolescente , Adulto , Estudios Transversales , Femenino , Humanos , Incidencia , Madagascar/epidemiología , Persona de Mediana Edad , Complicaciones Posoperatorias/epidemiología , Embarazo , Embarazo no Planeado , Embarazo no Deseado , Salud Reproductiva , Factores de Riesgo , Población Rural , Encuestas y Cuestionarios , Población Urbana , Adulto Joven
18.
Vaccine ; 37 Suppl 1: A35-A44, 2019 10 03.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-30509692

RESUMEN

In Madagascar, dog-mediated rabies has been endemic for over a century, however there is little data on its incidence or impact. We collected data over a 16-month period on provisioning of post-exposure prophylaxis (PEP) at a focal clinic in the Moramanga District and determined the rabies status of biting animals using clinical and laboratory diagnosis. We find that animal rabies cases are widespread, and clinic-based triage and investigation are effective ways to increase detection of rabies exposures and to rule out non-cases. A high proportion of rabies-exposed persons from Moramanga sought (84%) and completed PEP (90% of those that initiated PEP), likely reflecting the access and free provisioning of PEP in the district. Current clinic vial sharing practices demonstrate the potential for intradermal administration of PEP in endemic African settings, reducing vaccine use by 50% in comparison to intramuscular administration. A high proportion of PEP demand was attributed to rabies cases, with approximately 20% of PEP administered to probable rabies exposures and an additional 20% to low-to-no risk contacts with confirmed/probable animal or human cases. Using a simplified decision tree and our data on rabies exposure status and health-seeking behavior, we estimated an annual incidence of 42-110 rabies exposures and 1-3 deaths per 100,000 persons annually. Extrapolating to Madagascar, we estimate an annual burden of 282-745 human rabies deaths with current PEP provisioning averting 1499-3958 deaths each year. Data from other clinics and districts are needed to improve these estimates, particularly given that PEP availability is currently limited to only 31 clinics in the country. A combined strategy of mass dog vaccination, enhanced surveillance, and expanded access to PEP along with more judicious guidelines for administration could effectively reduce and eventually eliminate the burden of rabies in Madagascar.


Asunto(s)
Costo de Enfermedad , Utilización de Instalaciones y Servicios/estadística & datos numéricos , Profilaxis Posexposición/métodos , Profilaxis Posexposición/estadística & datos numéricos , Rabia/epidemiología , Rabia/prevención & control , Monitoreo Epidemiológico , Humanos , Incidencia , Inyecciones Intradérmicas , Inyecciones Intramusculares , Madagascar/epidemiología , Rabia/mortalidad , Análisis de Supervivencia , Resultado del Tratamiento
19.
PLoS One ; 13(11): e0205124, 2018.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-30462659

RESUMEN

BACKGROUND: Few comprehensive data exist regarding the epidemiology of severe acute respiratory infections (SARI) in low income countries. This study aimed at identifying etiologies and describing clinical features of SARI-associated hospitalization in Madagascar. METHODS: It is a prospective surveillance of SARI in 2 hospitals for 3 years. Nasopharyngeal swabs, sputum, and blood were collected from SARI patients enrolled and tested for viruses and bacteria. Epidemiological and clinical information were obtained from case report forms. RESULTS: Overall, 876 patients were enrolled in the study, of which 83.1% (728/876) were tested positive for at least one pathogen. Viral and bacterial infections occurred in 76.1% (667/876) and 35.8% (314/876) of tested samples, respectively. Among all detected viruses, respiratory syncytial virus (RSV) was the most common (37.7%; 348/924) followed by influenza virus A (FLUA, 18.4%; 170/924), rhinovirus (RV, 13.5%; 125/924), and adenovirus (ADV, 8.3%; 77/924). Among bacteria, Streptococcus pneumoniae (S. pneumoniae, 50.3%, 189/370) was the most detected followed by Haemophilus influenzae type b (Hib, 21.4%; 79/370), and Klebsiella (4.6%; 17/370). Other Streptococcus species were found in 8.1% (30/370) of samples. Compared to patients aged less than 5 years, older age groups were significantly less infected with RSV. On the other hand, patients aged more than 64 years (OR = 3.66) were at higher risk to be infected with FLUA, while those aged 15-29 years (OR = 3.22) and 30-64 years (OR = 2.39) were more likely to be infected with FLUB (influenza virus B). CONCLUSION: The frequency of influenza viruses detected among SARI patients aged 65 years and more highlights the need for health authorities to develop strategies to reduce morbidity amongst at-risk population through vaccine recommendation. Amongst young children, the demonstrated burden of RSV should guide clinicians for a better case management of children. These findings reveal the need to develop point-of-care tests to avoid overuse of antibiotics and to promote vaccine that could reduce drastically the RSV hospitalizations.


Asunto(s)
Monitoreo Epidemiológico , Hospitales , Infecciones del Sistema Respiratorio/epidemiología , Enfermedad Aguda , Adolescente , Adulto , Anciano , Anciano de 80 o más Años , Niño , Preescolar , Femenino , Hospitalización , Humanos , Lactante , Recién Nacido , Modelos Logísticos , Madagascar/epidemiología , Masculino , Prevalencia , Infecciones del Sistema Respiratorio/microbiología , Infecciones del Sistema Respiratorio/virología , Adulto Joven
20.
Contraception ; 97(2): 116-121, 2018 02.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-29242087

RESUMEN

OBJECTIVE: The objective was to learn what complications some women experienced in Madagascar following use of misoprostol for abortion and what treatment they received post misoprostol use. STUDY DESIGN: This was a qualitative study in 2015-2016 among women who had experienced complications after use of misoprostol, with or without additional methods, for abortion; what information they received before use; what dosage and regimens they used; what complications they experienced; and what treatment they received postuse. We initially conducted in-depth, semistructured interviews with 60 women who had undergone an abortion that resulted in complications. The results presented here are based on interviews with the subset of 19 women who had used misoprostol. RESULTS: The 19 women were aged 16-40, with an average age of 21-26 at interview and average age of 18-21 at abortion. To obtain an abortion, they sought advice from partners, friends, family members, and/or traditional practitioners and health care providers. Misoprostol was easily accessible through the formal and informal sectors, but the dosages and regimens the women used on the advice of others were extremely variable, did not match WHO guidelines and were apparently ineffective, resulting in failed abortion, incomplete abortion, heavy bleeding/hemorrhage, strong pain and/or infection. CONCLUSIONS: This study provides data on complications from the use of misoprostol as an abortifacient in Madagascar. Health care providers need training in correct misoprostol use and how to treat complications. Law and policy reforms are needed to support such training and to ensure the provision of safe abortion services in the public health system. IMPLICATIONS: Health care providers who provide abortion care and treatment of abortion complications need training in correct misoprostol use and treatment of complications. Women and pharmacy workers also need this information. Law and policy reforms are needed to allow training and provision of safe services. Further research is needed on the extent and impact of incorrect misoprostol administration.


Asunto(s)
Abortivos no Esteroideos/efectos adversos , Aborto Incompleto/inducido químicamente , Aborto Inducido/efectos adversos , Misoprostol/efectos adversos , Aceptación de la Atención de Salud/psicología , Aborto Inducido/métodos , Aborto Inducido/psicología , Adolescente , Adulto , Femenino , Humanos , Madagascar , Embarazo , Investigación Cualitativa , Hemorragia Uterina/inducido químicamente , Adulto Joven
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